Why do democrats care about abortion, immigration and immigration? The Arizona encounter of Blake Masters and Blake Biden during the first televised debate

One important factor is that the voter groups that Democrats rely upon are less focused on the issues where public concern about Biden’s performance is greatest and more concerned about the intentions of Republicans. “The blue team cares about abortion and democracy and the red team cares about crime and immigration and inflation,” says Whit Ayres, a long-time GOP pollster. “And there’s obviously a little overlap, particularly on the inflation front. But we have become so polarized that the two different teams care about different things and are motivated by different things.”

According to the exit poll, voters were upset with the state of the nation, economy and President Joe Biden, and that’s the type of political environment that leads to a backlash against the party in the White House. Other factors, including Biden’s pro-choice views and others may have helped keep the Democrats competitive.

Bryan Bennett says that the election is weird because of that. “People are having to make this trade-off between the immediate economic concerns [where]…they might blame the incumbent party in power. But at the same time, they know that same incumbent party is the one that is going to protect that fundamental human right” on abortion.

The push and pull between these competing priorities have been vividly displayed over the past week during the first flurry of general election Senate debates in states like Wisconsin, North Carolina and Arizona. During last week’s televised Arizona encounter, for instance, Republican challenger Blake Masters came out of the gate very strong and kept Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly on the defensive by relentlessly linking him to Biden while the conversation initially focused on inflation and border security. Kelly regained his strength as the discussion moved to abortion and election integrity, but Masters was struggling to explain his support during the Republican primary for a near total ban on abortion and his embrace of Trumps baseless claims of widespread fraud.

A high percentage of Democratic-aligned voters want Biden to be the nominee, which is a slight increase from the low point it reached in CNN polling this summer. Still, fewer now say that they’d like Biden to be the nominee (40%) than felt that way in January (45%).

These results partly reflect the sheer intractability of our modern political divisions, which leaves fewer voters open to shifting allegiance no matter how unhappy they are with current conditions. In Senate contests in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, Republicans have been hurt by nominating Trump-aligned candidates that many voters find unqualified, extreme or both.

The national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll released last week offered the latest snapshot of this divergence. Republicans overwhelmingly thought inflation and immigration to be the most important issues in the future. A comparable share of Democrats picked preserving democracy (32%), abortion (21%) and health care (15%). Independents split exactly in half between the priorities of the two parties: inflation and immigration on the one side, and democracy, abortion and health care on the other. Voters who have at least four years of college experience leaned more towards democracy and abortion than those without, while those with less than a college degree tended to stress inflation. It has provoked the most concern from Republicans and non-college educated voters when crime is an option, even though the survey did not include it.

Given these disparities, Democrats everywhere are stressing issues relating to rights and values, particularly abortion, but also warning about the threat to democracy posed by Trump and his movement. CNN reported last month that Democrats have spent more money on abortion-related ads than Republicans.

The 2018 Campaign to Get the American Way Out of the Discontent: How Democrat Leaders Prefer Republican Party Votes? A Survey of Demographic Splits

The arguments about the impact of the legislation on domestic production are most important in the long term because it will cause a boom in US employment.

But those plant openings are mostly still in the future and only a few Democrats (such as Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Arizona Sen. Kelly, and Ohio Senate candidate Tim Ryan) are emphasizing those possibilities this year.

Democrats want families to know that the legislation they’ve passed offers some relief on certain costs, especially the Inflation Reduction Act, which allows Medicare to negotiate for lower drug prices. Democratic pollster Geoff Garin says that highlighting such specific initiatives can allow individual candidates to overcome the negative overall judgment on Biden’s economic management. His main concern is that too many Democrats are focusing on abortion instead of the economic message.

Democrats are trying to build a sea wall against the currents of economic discontent with the argument that they are offering struggling families opportunities to better their condition. The final weeks of the campaign will determine whether that current goes far beyond the party’s defenses.

A new CNN Poll shows that Americans are not sure which candidate they would support in Congress, and prefer Republicans in some districts. According to about 4 in 10 voters, neither party has a clear plan for getting the country out of the mess it is in.

Sixty-two percent of Democrats said they have already voted or plan to do so, while 46% of Republicans said so. A majority of Republicans said they plan to vote in-person on Election Day.

The demographic divides the poll reveals ahead of this election suggest that core Democratic groups such as younger voters, Black and Latino voters, and even to some degree women, are expressing less support for Democratic candidates than they have in recent past elections. In October, a CNN Poll found that 59% of women supported Democrats in their district, but that’s now down to 53%. Over 70% of voters of color backed Democrats then, but now they are siding with Republicans. Latino voters break 52% for the Democrats, 23% for the Republican and 21% say they support neither candidate. The black voter divided their vote between the Democrats and the Republicans, split 81% for the Democrats and 9% for the Republicans. And among voters younger than the age of 45, Democrats held a 15-point advantage in 2018 compared with just 8 points now. The likely voters in these groupings tilt more Democratic, but their motivation to vote is not as strong as among younger voters or voters of color.

Despite tepid support for Trump to win the nomination, the survey finds the former president would likely enjoy majority backing among Republican-aligned voters in the general election if he did emerge as the party’s candidate. About two-thirds of people who want other people to be the nominee also say they will definitely vote for Trump if he becomes the nominee. Almost eight in 10 Republican-aligned voters want Trump to be the nominee, and 42% would likely vote for him even if he won the party’s nod.

There was a random sample of 1,192 adults who were initially reached via mail, including 1,577 registered voters and 1,198 likely voters, to be used in the CNN Poll. The surveys were either done by online or by telephone. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points and it is 3.5 points among registered voters and 3.0 points among likely voters. The survey includes an oversample of adults living in 50 competitive congressional districts, with districts chosen based on publicly available race ratings at the time the sample was chosen. An error margin of plus or minus 7.5 points is what the results have in the 540 registered voters sample. That subset was weighted to reflect its proper share of the overall adult population of the United States.

Democrats had a great summer. There was a surge of voter registrations following the Dobbs decision. Voters handed Democrats a string of sweet victories in unlikely places — Alaska and Kansas, and good news in upstate New York.

Heading into the final week of voting, some of Democrats’ key base voters’ levels of enthusiasm are far below that of Republican-base voter groups, the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll found. It is the last NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist survey before voting wraps up Tuesday.

Republicans will take over control of the House in January, after Democrats retained control of the Senate. Following an election in which neither party came away with a clear mandate from voters, Americans’ feelings about the results and the effects they might have on major issues are mixed.

A majority of Republicans would likely vote for a candidate they agree with regardless of whether that candidate thinks the 2020 election was stolen, according to a survey.

White women with college degrees are an important bloc for the Democrats, but Black voters, Hispanics and younger people are less enthusiastic to vote.

It’s tied in this survey and that’s not good news for Democrats. Historically, they have needed a substantial lead on that question to do well in the House, because of how districts are drawn and with swing districts largely in right-leaning places.

The survey found inflation continues to be the top issue for voters heading into the final days of voting with 36% saying so, followed by preserving democracy (26%), abortion (14%), immigration (9%), health care (8%) and crime (7%).

Republicans are trusted by wide margins on inflation (R+20), crime (R+16) and immigration (R+12), the three issues the GOP has focused on most in these elections.

A majority of Republicans said they’d vote for someone who thought the election was stolen, as opposed to one-in-five Democrats and a third of independents.

The vast majority of Americans believe in their local and state governments to conduct a fair and accurate election. Even though the Republican Party was less likely to say so, almost all of them said they did have that confidence despite what was being said about them.

Now by a 53%-to-38% margin, they say it’s better for the government to be controlled by the same party. A majority of Democrats say that their majority is being threatened this year, but a small number of independents and some Republicans do the same.

27% of Americans say they have already voted and another 28% plan to vote before the election. Forty-three percent say they will vote in-person on Election Day.

CNN’s 2022 Exit Polls: In-person, Email, and Online Polls of Thousands of Voters, and How They Will Influence the Primary Primary Elections

29% of voters named abortion their top issue after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. About 6 in 10 voters were negative about the decision, and nearly 4 in 10 expressed anger. Democrats had a roughly 11-point edge over the GOP when it came to which party voters trusted to handle issues related to abortion.

The 2022 exit polls include interviews with thousands of voters, both those who cast a ballot on Election Day and those who voted early or absentee. The scope gives them a great tool for understanding the demographic profile of voters in this year’s election. The results of the elections themselves will eventually be weighted against their findings. Because exit polls are still polls, they are most useful when you treat them as estimates, rather than accurate measurements. The exit polls are adjusted before the election results are known.

It is not known which party will control the Senate or the House next year, with votes still being counted and key races too early to call. But it’s clear that the “red wave” wished for by Republicans did not materialize in 2022.

In Pennsylvania’s gubernatorial race, the projected Democratic winner, Josh Shapiro, picked up roughly one-quarter of commonwealth voters who disapproved of Biden. Democratic candidates won the majority of races in which voters didn’t approve of Biden.

CNN’s exit polls include interviews with election day voters, in-person interviews with voters, and telephone and online polls of by-mail and early voters. They were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool. Read more here.

What Does the House of Representatives Really Think about the Biden Administration? A Study of House Leaders over the Last Sixteen Days of the January 6, 2021 Attack

Republicans have signaled their intention to open multiple investigations into the Biden administration and have asked the members of the House select committee investigating the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol to preserve records and transcripts, suggesting the potential for a counter-investigation. Americans think that the takeover of the House by Republicans will have a mostly negative impact on investigations into the attack, but are less sure about how it will affect oversight of the Biden administration.

It is not clear if any of the key figures in House leadership are well-liked by the public, but within their own parties they are generally positive. Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents express positive views about outgoing Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi by a wide margin, with just 27% having a favorable view and 80% holding an unfavorable opinion. More Americans don’t have an opinion of the new House Democratic Leader than have an opinion, but Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents have more positive views of him than the other way around. Views of House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy, who is vying to become speaker, tilt negative among the full public, 36% unfavorable to 19% favorable, with nearly half unsure how they feel about him. Among Republicans and Republican leaners, there’s been a shift toward the positive since this summer: 39% now have a favorable view and 16% unfavorable, compared with 19% favorable and 28% unfavorable in CNN’s polling this summer.

Half of Americans currently say the GOP’s views and policies are too extreme, rather than generally mainstream, while 44% call the Democratic Party too extreme – both numbers are little changed since last summer.

Even though GenZ/Millennials voted for Democrats by a big margin, only 42% of them had a favorable opinion of the party. Almost 1-in-5 GenZ/Millennials said they were unsure.

One survey participant said that the Democratic Party needed new leadership to reflect the growing diversity of American people. The other one said that the existing Democratic leaders are doing a good job. but [it] may be the time for new generation of leaders.”

One person who responded to the survey said that the GOP needs to dump Trump, and another said that the party wasn’t doing anything to help the country.

Some people think that the GOP should compromise more and some people think that the party should fight harder against the Democrats.

The 2016 CNN Poll: Are We Really Ready for a 2020 Presidential Rematch? A Population Analysis Based on Data from a Random Random Sample

A random national sample of 1,208 people was drawn from a probability-based panel for the December 1 through 7 CNN Poll. Online or telephone surveys were conducted with a live interviewer. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is plus or minus 3.6 points; it is larger for the subgroup.

There’s little appetite for a 2020 rematch in the coming presidential election, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, as majorities of registered voters within each party say they’d rather see someone new nominated in 2024.

Almost three-quarters of Democrats who say they would prefer someone else as the party’s nominee have no one specific in mind. Some people mention Pete Buttigieg as a candidate, while others don’t.

Trump has seen no such shift in his favorability rating. The proportion of people who rate him positively has gone down since he became president, and the proportion who think he’s a terrible president has gone up. 70% of people say that Trump’s views and policies are too extreme and 45% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say the same.

More than 70 percent of respondents said Congress should compromise. But Americans have gotten more pessimistic that their leaders will try to reach across the aisle. The 58% who said they have no confidence Congress will do so is more than double the level found in 2008, when just 23% said so.

Many Americans say they are simply tired of the bickering, name-calling and faux outrage that have become all-too-common among members on either side of the aisle in Congress.

“You don’t want to have two people talking about each other in the same place, you’re not going to get anything done,” said Jeff Daye, who was a Republican and lives in California, Md. “They remind me of a bunch of children.”

“You have to know where you’re coming from, and you have to be a Republican,” said Boushelle, who said she voted for Trump but hadn’t done so since the election. “You are a product of your environment. You have to meet them where they are. You don’t try to reach them or bring them back, you just divide them and it’s hard.

The Americas Want to Compromise But Have No Confidence Congress Will Work Toge the Next U.S. Presidential Reionization

“I believe he’s doing a great job,” she said. “There’s nothing we can do about his hair or his quickness, but when you’re older, we make better decisions, more informed decisions.”

The two other candidates had less than 50% of the vote, with the other saying they would prefer the Democratic nominee to be Pete Buttigieg. More than a quarter said they are looking for “someone else.”

When Republicans and Democrats say they want to preserve democracy, they don’t always mean the same thing. The former president’s claims of voter fraud are being focused on by some Republicans.

Efforts to overturn the upcoming presidential election in 2020 and future attempts to sew up doubts about U.S. elections are more than Democrats are focused on.

Eighty-three percent — and there were similar numbers across the political spectrum — believed that there is a serious threat to democracy. That’s the most recorded in the poll after the riot at the Capitol.

The positive views are — not surprisingly — driven by Democrats, 48% of whom said they think this Congress has accomplished more than recent Congresses. Even though there is a 50-50 Senate, a string of legislative victories for Biden and his party has been productive.

White evangelical Christians, far and away, viewed the GOP most favorably of the demographic subgroups. Members of the Silent/Greatest generation (those between 77 and 94 years old), whites without college degrees and those who live in small towns and rural areas were among the most likely to have more positive views of the Republican Party.

In fact, statistically the same percentage of GenZ/Millennials (42%) had a favorable view of the Republican Party, and 1-in-5 were unsure. This generation is up for grabs as it gets older due to either party’s high levels of dissatisfaction and disconnection.

Source: https://www.npr.org/2022/12/15/1142751143/poll-americans-want-compromise-but-have-no-confidence-congress-will-work-togethe

A survey of e-commerce sites showing that buying a car is not the best time to buy a home or an appliance is not a good idea

7-in-10 said that they don’t think now is a good time to buy a car or appliance because the economy is bad.