On the fate of Da Silva in the Amazon: a datafolha analysis of da Silva’s 2011 presidential election campaign in Rio de Janeiro

The election comes at a crucial moment for Brazil, where surging food and fuel prices, coupled with a painful economic slowdown, have made life harder for many Brazilians. Some 33 million people in the country of 217 million people are experiencing hunger and extreme poverty has surged, reversing decades of social and economic advances.

Concerns about the environment and climate are large. The Amazon has hit 15-year highs in the past 15 years due to Jair Bolsonio, who believes the rainforest should be opened up to mining, ranching and agriculture. Brazil has been made a pariah by the destruction of the Amazon and efforts to avert a climate crisis.

Da Silva, who was leading the polls in the Presidential race, was thrown out of it because of his convictions for corruption and money laundered. The Supreme Court later annulled da Silva’s convictions on the grounds that the judge was biased and colluded with prosecutors.

Recent opinion polls have given da Silva a commanding lead — the last Datafolha survey published Saturday found a 50% to 36% advantage for da Silva among those who intended to vote. The interviewer had a margin of error of two percentage points.

Agatha de Carvalho was going to vote at her local polling station in the Rocinha neighborhood of Rio de Janeiro, but found that 100 other people were already lined up. She would vote for da Silva, and that was something that she didn’t like.

When Bolsonaro was Out: Saving Brazil’s Democracy by Raving the Debate: The Case of Aboling the First Odd Election

He was responsible for a lot of deaths during the Pandemic. She said if he had not done some of the things he did, some deaths could have been avoided.

He has built a devoted base by defending traditional family values, rejecting political correctness, and presenting himself as protecting the nation from policies that affect personal liberties and cause economic turmoil.

A slow economic recovery has yet to reach the poor, with 33 million Brazilians going hungry despite higher welfare payments. It is possible that Brazil will move to the political left in response to high inflation and a vast number of people excluded from formal employment.

The left-leaning leaders of the region who have recently assumed power are: Gustavo Petro, Gabriel Boric, and Pedro Castillo.

da Silva was seen by polls as having a good chance of winning the presidency in the first round because he got more than half of the votes. But he came short, with Brazil now facing four more weeks of intense campaigning.

At one point, Bolsonaro claimed to possess evidence of fraud, but never presented any, even after the electoral authority set a deadline to do so. He said as recently as Sept. 18 that if he doesn’t win in the first round, something must be “abnormal.”

All this provided an opening for da Silva, who is now 76 and a survivor of throat cancer. On the campaign trail he promised a return to the economic good times of his first two terms and portrayed himself as the man who could salvage Brazil’s democracy — by beating Bolsonaro.

Even if Bolsonaro accepts the result of the election, he could have a negative impact on his supporters. He would certainly be perceived as a bad loser.”

Speaking after casting his ballot in São Bernardo do Campo, the manufacturing hub in Sao Paulo state where he was a union leader, da Silva recalled that four years ago he was imprisoned and unable to vote.

Bolsoniero grew up in a low-middle-class family before joining the army. He turned to politics after being forced out of the military for openly pushing to raise servicemen’s pay. During his seven terms as a fringe lawmaker in Congress’ lower house, he regularly expressed nostalgia for the country’s two-decade military dictatorship.

Traditionally armed forces’ involvement in elections have been limited to carrying voting machines to isolated and violent communities. The military should conduct a parallel count of the votes.

While that didn’t materialize, the Defense Ministry said it will cross check results in over 380 polling stations across Brazil. Any citizen or entity is able to do the same, consulting a vote tally available at each station after ballot closure and online.

Sunday’s voting was largely peaceful after a contentious, sometimes violent campaign in which Brazil’s democracy seemed to hang in the balance. Bolsonaru, who supports the past military dictatorship in Brazil, challenged the legitimacy of the election as it approached and his opinion poll numbers flagged.

Prelim results are usually out within minutes, with the final result available a few hours later because the vote is conducted electronically. The polls close at 5 p.m. Brasilia time.

Lula da Silva and the Supreme Electoral Court: a tribute to Julia Sottili, the father of a Brazilian museum worker

Julia Sottili is a museum worker who voted for da Silva because of his authoritarian tendencies. “Lula wants to improve people’s lives and end hunger. He is really concerned about human rights.”

He served one and a half years in prison for his involvement in a wide-ranging corruption scandal after leaving office. His political career seemed over. He launched his campaign for the presidency after being released on a technicality in the middle of the year.

The second-place finish on Sunday for the president was sobering, as it showed his erratic behavior and policy decisions cost him support.

The president who lost would have called Silva by now if it weren’t for the transfer of power, he said on Sunday night.

It is Brazil’s Supreme Electoral Court that officially validates election results and communicates them to the Senate, Chamber of Deputies and State Assemblies.

A press officer for the Electoral Court told CNN that the vote’s results are already considered validated, since the court’s declaration of the outcome on Sunday. There is no date for the court session yet, but it is expected at a later point.

On Sunday, the Electoral Court President called both Silva and Bolsonaro to inform them of the results, and also to thank them for their participation in the democratic process.

De Moraes also said he did not see much room for the election to be contested. The result has been accepted and those who were elected will take office on January 1, he said.

Brazilian Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco has already publicly congratulated Lula da Silva and his supporters, as has Chamber of Deputies President Arthur Lira – a close Bolsonaro ally.

US President Joe Biden sent his best wishes to the newly elected president of Brazil after a free, fair and credible election.

President Putin wrote in a message to the Russian state news agency that the election results confirm his high political authority.

The Brazilian presidential boycott boycott of the 19th century ended with the resignation of Manuel Bolsonaro and the inauguration of José Figueiredo

On Monday, the president-elect met with the president of Argentina, who was one of the first foreign leaders to congratulate him.

At the start of the Brazilian republic in the late 19th century, army marshall Floriano Peixoto did not attend the inauguration of his successor, Prudente de Moraes.

And almost a century later, the last of the unelected military presidents, João Batista Figueiredo, snubbed the inauguration of his successor José Sarney.

In both cases, the boycott was largely symbolic. The same would be true if Bolsonaro were to refuse to concede the presidency in a public statement, according to legal expert Augusto de Arruda Botelho.

He told CNN that not acknowledging the result is a non-starter from a political point of view because it is the Electoral Court that hands over power to the winner.

Ignoring to concede would be seen as damaging to the public image of Bolsonaro among his own supporters. “Even the most extreme pro-Bolsonaro supporters, like those I interviewed last year in Santa Catarina for my research, say that if Bolsonaro lost he would have to accept the result,” she told CNN.

CNN Brasil reported that since Sunday evening, the pro-Bolsonaro supporters have been blocking highways and roads, causing delays and disruptions in at least 19 states across the country.

São Paulo International Airport informed passengers to check the status of their fights in a tweet noting that access to airport terminals may be difficult due to the protest. A number of flights have been delayed, according to an airline agent who spoke to CNN. The blockade is causing delays at the airport and has caused airline pilots and crew to not be able to make it to the airport.

Some police officers who were on the road leading to the airport were afraid of upsetting the protesters, and were trying to avoid confrontation, according to CNN.

Source: https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/31/americas/brazil-election-result-explainer-intl-latam/index.html

An Indigenous Perspective on the Bolsonaro–Bolsonipo Manifesto in Brazil: The inauguration of a new Brazilian president

Luis Valejo, a Bolsonipo supporter, said that the president won at the ballot box and they cheated the ballot boxes and put the other candidate ahead.

We want to thank everyone who helped us save patriotism, who prayed, took to the streets and gave their sweat for the country that is working and gave BolsonFaro the biggest vote of his life! Let’s raise our heads and let’s not give up on our Brazil!” he wrote.

The National Transport Confederation of Brazil said that the blockades caused “inconvenience and damage to the whole society.” The CNT also said the protests should be categorized as anti-democratic.

Bolsontaro supporters have been camping out in front of army barracks all over the country, calling for the armed forces to overturn the election. A Bolsonaro supporter was arrested in a bombing attempt.

Bolsonaro left the country on Friday and it is not known when he will return to Brazil. There were fears of an insurrection in the country, but the incoming administration downplayed them.

The inauguration ceremony was held in the capital and drew hundreds of thousands of people, but there was still tight security at the event.

After four years of right wing politics, the new president vowed to rebuild his country in his inaugural speech. He accused his predecessor’s administration of committing genocide by not tackling the COVID-19 epidemic. More than 600,000 Brazilians died from COVID, the world’s second-highest death toll after the U.S. Da Silva also pledged to combat hunger and poverty, to protect the Amazon and to fortify Indigenous rights.

As is customary, Bolsonaro didn’t pass on the presidential sash when he left. da Silva received the honor from ordinary Brazilians who included an Indigenous leader, a man with cerebral palsy and a Black youth.

With Bolsonja’s party having majority control of both chambers in Congress, Da Silva has an uphill battle to win another four-year term.